Sanctions are not just failing to end the war in Ukraine or weaken the Kremlin’s warfighting currency, they’ve also backfired, inadvertently strengthening Moscow’s hardline position, undermining the utility of alternative strategies, and shoring up the Kremlin against future international coercion.
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119 sats \ 0 replies \ @Rothbardian_fanatic 4 Nov 2024
Yes, the sanctions have not worked
The NATO alliance is a naval power not a continental power.
Russia is an Asian continental power which can ship internally, not affected by oceans.
Now considering those facts, how would the west ever be able to stop intracontinental trade?
Can’t effectively be done, can it?
They can just go around the sanctions, witness BRICS and other organizations.
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53 sats \ 19 replies \ @Solomonsatoshi 4 Nov 2024
Days before Russia invaded they signed a comprehensive mutual support pact with China.
https://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/russia-and-china-unveil-a-pact-against-america-and-the-west
Since the invasion China has bought Russias oil and gas, at a discounted price and rapidly increasing volumes..
Putin is begging China to quickly complete a second pipeline which will further the volume that can be pumped into China.
Russia has only been able to continue to operate as a functional sustainable economy because of Chinas willingness to ignore the sanctions and provide both a market for Russias oil and gas exports and to supply Russia with manufactured goods...and USD access via Hong Kong.
Russia has become dependent upon China.
Russia is now subservient to China and acting as one of its proxies - attacking the west.
Trump plans to reward this Chinese backed Russian aggression.
Chinas advance against the west will not end there.
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5 sats \ 18 replies \ @Rothbardian_fanatic 4 Nov 2024
Why should China, India and other Stans cooperate with sanctions from US?
They are all connected by land, where our navies cannot go.
They can make pipes without our interference.
TDS much?
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7 sats \ 17 replies \ @Solomonsatoshi 4 Nov 2024
Because US still holds the military and monetary hegemony- although China has been in a position to ignore that since they provided Iran with trade and monetary access after US sanctions more than a decade ago.
Today China can do as it pleases as USA dare not exclude China from its SWIFT network as to do so would do huge damage to US economy.
India is being drawn into orbit with the new Chinese empire via Russia...which is now already dependent upon Chinese trade and payments systems.
As more nations see they can gain near complete trade and monetary alternative via China the power of the US and its monetary hegemony will swiftly decline.
Within perhaps 4 years China could reverse engineer the entire system and leave US broke and defeated...not a missile fired from China- they have already won the trade war....now the war for control over international protocols and institutions has begun.
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25 sats \ 16 replies \ @xz 4 Nov 2024
You get the feeling the current US admin is literally ineffective in any of its goals. If there are any coherent strategies in place beyond countering military strategy (badly) and fumbling opportunities to walk back mistakes and form ties, there doesn't seem much evidence of them.
I honestly believe that the best thing for the US would be a new administration.
Obviously, that would also be the best wake up call to the so-called united 'west'.
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14 sats \ 6 replies \ @Rothbardian_fanatic 4 Nov 2024
On the other hand, perhaps they are being totally effective on their goals. You are assuming their goals are somewhat in line with the good of the nation. Is that truly the case?
It looks to me like THEY are trying to suck the husk of this nation dry of every last drop of blood and treasure. Then THEY can abandon the rest of the people to whatever fate we have. You can see it in the corruption and the crony capitalism (which is not capitalism, but something else), all around us. There is nothing but lies.
Now, to change that will take a swerving away from the system and people milking it for all it is worth. Can we do it? Will we be let to do it? We will have to see.
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20 sats \ 5 replies \ @xz 4 Nov 2024
I wasn't assuming this entirely, but you are right. I'm assuming that there's a case for self-preservation of humanity. I'd be very wrong in my assumption if there's all kinds of high level agreements to steer this thing into some covert global paradigm.
Beyond some further milking. What possible end-goal could be reached for the non-US aligned global cabal? I find it hard to believe the factions of global politics have cooperation beyond statist subservience, old money and multinational corporate interest.
But good point.
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8 sats \ 8 replies \ @Solomonsatoshi 4 Nov 2024
Last time Trump left traditional allies feeling abandoned- he pulled out of the transpacific free trade agreement and seemed to show favour to Putin and North Korea more than the EU or other allies. He appears to admire autocrats and despots.
The west was not united by him- it was left divided and confused.
Trump appears to be conceding the US is in decline- and abandoning the wider alliance that has backed US hegemony- maybe that's the right tactic but again I have my doubts.
Many traditional partners have stronger trade ties and reliance upon China then the US and while they would be reluctant to come under Chinese dominion like Russia has they might increasingly turn their backs on the US.
Without a united west, Chinas rise to global hegemony is much easier.
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20 sats \ 5 replies \ @xz 4 Nov 2024
To your last point, for sure, 's hard to to argue a counterbalance wouldn't be helpful.
I think the other point you made is largely correct. Maybe an inconvenirnt truth that in today's world, nations/economic and political regions are very much allies through convenience and what that brings.
The part about Trump. Well, I think there's a lot of flowery language around about how he seems. I'm not sure I can buy that. Practicality and realism are the only ways to go, when there's a trust issue with international 'rules'. Every player skirts these rules economically.
I feel agrements like the TTP are adverserial. Equally, even if built out of a practical solution to the current balance of power, the SCO is also. To act in the way that nations that are less aligned on the spectrum of power must, India or Vietnam, for example, benefits them, by carefully navigating the orbit, as someone above decribed it.
When the gloves come off, allies are allies of convenience for the most part.
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0 sats \ 1 reply \ @Rothbardian_fanatic 4 Nov 2024
Surely, just what the WEF, communists and China are looking for!!
Perhaps Trump is NOT conceding anything. Perhaps he sees foreign entanglements for just what they are.
The US does not need to back wars or sent troops anywhere, even less, have bases in every country on Earth. Let people choose their own destiny and work towards it.
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43 sats \ 0 replies \ @Satosora 4 Nov 2024
It hurt them initially when they were scrambling to figure things out.
But now it is helping them more than hurting.
It is hurting everyone else except them.
"But contend they at least offer an inexpensive and low-risk way to slow Russian advances and take a public stand against the invasion."
Im not saying that the USA should get boots on the ground, but this low risk way isnt working well.
It is more like a symbolic gesture.
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