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72 sats \ 12 replies \ @mega_dreamer 26 Sep \ parent \ on: Predyx | Advanced Prediction Markets with Lightning Network Integration oracle

Yes, you can for sure arbitrage in the initial stage. Markets are very thinly traded for now. Have fun!

125 sats \ 11 replies \ @Undisciplined 26 Sep

I will. I also made a real prediction that the Chiefs won't win the Super Bowl.

69 sats \ 10 replies \ @mega_dreamer 26 Sep

Awesome! I see it :) Thanks for supporting us!

100 sats \ 9 replies \ @Undisciplined 27 Sep

This is awesome! We've been wanting something like it for a long time (looking at you @ek).

59 sats \ 8 replies \ @mega_dreamer 27 Sep

@ek runs Delphi.Markets right?

16 sats \ 3 replies \ @Undisciplined 27 Sep

If you can call it that.

I really like giving ek shit, don't read anything into it.

137 sats \ 1 reply \ @ek OP 27 Sep

Yeah, I have to admit, my prediction about something with delphi.market and this summer didn't really come true 👀

I feel so close and yet so far away from shipping on mainnet

22 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined 27 Sep

I recall you saying September. It's not over till it's over.

27 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer 27 Sep

ok :)

237 sats \ 3 replies \ @ek OP 27 Sep

Yes, but it's a thing I have talked about for almost a year now with not much to show for it. But at least you heard about it, haha

But there's also been some more talk between me, @itsTomekK and friends about prediction markets on nostr with my NIP from last year as inspiration.¹

As much as it hurts me to miss out on being the first lightning-native prediction market, your site looks great and it's really exciting to see prediction markets on lightning becoming more and more of a thing. I especially like that you're planning to let users generate markets. I also had this in mind. Congratulations to shipping! Not everybody gets so far.

I tried to search for my prediction about prediction markets becoming the next big thing in bitcoin this cycle but I only found this:

Once you understand what prediction markets make possible, you go to bed each night with anxiety, feeling chronically short of prediction markets.

-- #246897

Wow, that NIP is from May 11 2023! Time flies. ↩

100 sats \ 0 replies \ @mega_dreamer 27 Sep

Just read through your post on Sep last year. You had a lot of interesting and original idea on prediction markets. I love that you were also thinking about user generated markets, private markets. Its mind blowing! Always tons of respect for original thinkers!!

100 sats \ 1 reply \ @mega_dreamer 27 Sep

@itsTomekK and I are also good friends. He was the one who told me about you. Perhaps we can join hands, lets chat one of these days.

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @ek OP 27 Sep

Is your code open source? 👀

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