The world's largest economy, the United States, is experiencing clear signs of a slowdown, particularly in its industrial sector. Recent data from a survey by S&P Global reveals a concerning deceleration in U.S. manufacturing activity for August compared to the previous month. The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for this sector dropped to 47.9, down from July's 49.6. Economists had anticipated a slight decrease to 48.1, but the initial estimate had been 48.0. Typically, a PMI above 50 indicates economic expansion, while a figure below that threshold signals contraction.
Chief Economist Chris Williamson highlighted that this ongoing decline in the PMI suggests that the manufacturing sector may exert a growing drag on the U.S. economy in the third quarter. The indicators also point to the possibility that this dampening effect could intensify in the coming months. As pressure mounts on the Federal Reserve, similar to trends seen globally, there is an increasing call to ease credit conditions.
It's particularly surprising that despite the massive expansion of the industrial-military complex, these economic indicators are still performing so poorly. More escalation is on the air...
Visualizing the Decline of U.S. Manufacturing, by Sector (2002-2022)
Between 2002 and 2022, the U.S. lost more than 45,000 manufacturing firms amid evolving global trade dynamics.
While the U.S. was the world’s leading manufacturer up to 2010, production has fallen $2.4 trillion behind China as of 2022. Factors such as trade liberalization, including the North American Free Trade Agreement, and China’s accession to the World Trade Organization in 2001, have contributed to a significant shift in the U.S. industrial base over the past few decades.
This graphic shows the decline in the number of manufacturing firms by sector over the last 20 years, based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau.
Shrinking Number of Manufacturing Firms
Below, we show the change in manufacturing firms across each of the 21 sub-sectors:
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i believe Factors contributing to this strain include reduced demand, supply chain disruptions, and global economic uncertainties.
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