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21 sats \ 1 reply \ @supertestnet 31 Aug \ parent \ on: Inflation is down and a recession is unlikely. What went right? econ
Correct
Incorrect in my case. I just got information about candidates from sources other than the tv. E.g. I used the "on the issues" website which lists an assortment of political topics with quotations from candidates about those topics. But I think the pollsters didn't want to poll people like me -- they only wanted to poll normies. Which seems like selection bias. The polls almost become a mirror of "do you watch Fox or CNN/NBC/MSNBC?" which rarely offer nuanced analysis. So you end up polling only low information voters and presenting that as "this is a snapshot of the nation's political stance" when it's only a snapshot of what the non-thinkers think.
Polls have always had selection bias.
Most voters don’t think. Politics is more emotion than reason.
Most voters are single issue: climate change or petroleum or tax policy and regulation or cuts in spending
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