Yes, it helps a lot. 
And he has really simplified it so everyone can understand. 

No, but he's laying out his reasoning pretty clearly, which will let us evaluate whether this is a useful way to think about things.

Undisciplined

At least it offers a logical insight on what is happening. 
It doesnt all have to come true to mean something. 

Satosora

I like that he's putting his cards on the table. It will be pretty easy to gauge if his predictions come through.