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What are the chances that one of the major hardware wallet manufacturers has a backdoor just like this?

Multi-signature schemes can protect against this, but it still concerns me.

Yep, that's why it's best to multi-sig with multiple manufacturers. A quorum would need to be compromised and collude to rob you.

backdoor just like this

This backdoor is really naive. If there's a backdoor in a major hardware hardware wallet, it's likely some kind of deterministic entropy.

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