pull down to refresh

Raising rates only matters if people have debt and loans.
Isn’t total household debt trivial in Japan especially compared to USA and Europe?
Lower rates are supposed to stimulate investment. Japan sees to be inelastic in this regard since 1990.
It was also irresponsible to keep rates at zero or negative for 35 years
Get out your ai and search Yen Carry Trade. This is what's been happening for 35 years, and you'll see why raising rates turned everything upside down.
reply
Oh damn! Of course!
How do I borrow yen?
How can this arbitrage exist for 30 years?
Perplexity:
The yen carry trade is a financial strategy where investors borrow Japanese yen at low interest rates and invest in higher-yielding assets elsewhere, such as U.S. stocks or bonds. This trade relies on stable exchange rates and low borrowing costs in Japan. Recently, the strategy faced challenges as the yen appreciated due to rising Japanese interest rates, making it more expensive to repay yen-denominated loans. This led to a market sell-off as investors rushed to exit positions, contributing to significant market volatility[1][2][5].
Sources [1] Explainer: What is the yen carry trade? - Reuters https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/what-is-yen-carry-trade-2024-08-07/ [2] A popular trading strategy just blew up in investors' faces - CNN https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/07/business/yen-carry-trade-stocks-nightcap/index.html [3] What Is the Japanese Yen Carry Trade? - WSJ https://www.wsj.com/finance/currencies/what-is-the-yen-carry-trade-e5ab9670 [4] What to Know About the Japanese Yen 'Carry Trade' That ... - Barron's https://www.barrons.com/articles/japan-yen-carry-trade-explained-stock-market-crash-cc6ac7ea [5] What are carry trades and how did they contribute to this week's ... https://apnews.com/article/stocks-markets-carry-japan-currency-9611229d14e547e11f7e0299f2a6d00a
reply
41 sats \ 1 reply \ @siggy47 8 Aug
You know, that's a very clear, damn good explanation.
reply
plus footnotes and citations!
Edit: I didn't realize the double whammy: higher interest rates plus a stronger yen. That is insult and injury!
reply