107 sats \ 5 replies \ @jeff OP 6 Aug \ on: [meta] ~econ [2024Q3] econ

Call for Contributor & Donor Input RE: Cashflow treatment decision

Cashflow from the "50% of 10%" of post-revenue, that is income ex-posting costs, is normally small and volatile. IMHO, it's so trivial, it's noise and barely worth this thread. Last month, we had a record setting post, (thanks to) 619793 @Undisciplined. We don't get an isolated number for these posts, but the territory likely earned ~5K from that post.

I want to capture this inflow for the montly fee-post-cost-adjustment, in a way that doesn't increase volatility in posting costs.

Any ideas?

The one option I can think of, would be to declare a trailing moving average of ex-post-cost-income. Include the term in the post-calc-change logic each month, assuming the MoM growth = 0 %.

Also, bonus points for ideas that are simple to track or screw up.

171 sats \ 2 replies \ @Undisciplined 6 Aug

The most obvious volatility reduction strategy, to me, is to only adjust posting fees by a fraction of what is recommended by your formula. Basically, dampen the system.

33 sats \ 1 reply \ @jeff OP 8 Aug

I like this. How do we forecast ex-post-cost income?

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined 8 Aug

I was thinking as simply as possible. Whatever your current price formula spits out for August, call it X, make the actual August price = (X + 187)/2.

You should still converge to the same place, but with less volatility and probably a little slower.

13 sats \ 1 reply \ @IamSINGLE 7 Aug

Adjust the post costs with minimum amounts. Don't go straight away cut the posting fees in half. Just change in single digit percentages.

0 sats \ 0 replies \ @jeff OP 8 Aug

Yah, thats the spirit of what im after, but I want to minimize the amount of subjectivity.