20 sats \ 9 replies \ @Satosora 2 Aug \ on: Polymarket vs PredictIt news
This is messed up. But I bet it is based on how much someone bets. So Trump must be leading in money.
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20 sats \ 7 replies \ @grayruby OP 3 Aug
It’s odd that there is such a discrepancy between the two.
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20 sats \ 6 replies \ @Satosora 3 Aug
As more people bet on harris, the price difference should become closer.
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20 sats \ 5 replies \ @grayruby OP 3 Aug
Yes but what’s odd is they are betting on her on one platform but not the other. They should both have similar odds otherwise you could arbitrage the difference.
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50 sats \ 4 replies \ @Satosora 3 Aug
Just different platforms. I have seen this happen before. The odds will converge as more people bet, usually...
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20 sats \ 3 replies \ @grayruby OP 3 Aug
You’re likely right.
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20 sats \ 2 replies \ @Satosora 3 Aug
Do you know when the betting took off?
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20 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby OP 3 Aug
Not sure
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20 sats \ 0 replies \ @Satosora 3 Aug
Yeah, it will probably even out or get closer as time goes on. Unless one of them really pulls ahead on the polls. That would easily make the betting biased.
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20 sats \ 0 replies \ @Bell_curve 3 Aug
Predict doesn’t use real money
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