45 sats \ 1 reply \ @jp305 30 Jul \ on: Who Is Ahead in the U.S. Presidential Race? charts_and_numbers
Why can't we find winner projections? Is it too hard to do given the nature of the electoral system?
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21 sats \ 0 replies \ @tomlaies 30 Jul
It's too hard to extrapolate a sample. In every other statistic it is more than sufficient to poll 1000 suburban moms and extrapolate by age, financial standing, job industry etc to all suburban moms in the US. But in voting it's different because the difference between 49.9 and 50.1 isn't negligible - it matters a lot.
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