Today, I'd like to share some thoughts on the current state of the Lightning Network.
Why? I've just noticed that the capacity is increasing again, and it appears we will soon reach all-time highs. While channel counts have stabilized and are not yet increasing, I wonder if this development is a positive sign or a cause for concern due to the decreasing or stabilizing number of channels. What do you think? A bit less decentralized, less people using it, but better overall capacity? here is a screenshot from mempool.space (I'm ignoring all those spikes in the chart)
In my opinion, the total capacity is also an important metric, indicating greater liquidity and confidence in the system's functionality. Overall, I believe the situation isn't as negative as some might think. Why? Let's consider the number of nodes as well, where the picture becomes clearer. Since its inception, there has been a steady upward trend in node numbers; however, during the latest bear market, the number of nodes began to decline, but not really much if you look at the while picture. I view this period more as a stability phase rather than an indication of a changing trend.
The Lightning Network is here to stay for the long term. What are your thoughts on this? I don't see other L2 solutions having much success.

Long live Lightning Network? Or not?


Keep stacking! Quark
100 sats \ 0 replies \ @anon 21 Jul
This trend with the increase in capacity means that the network is pruning and increasing allocations to certain nodes.
This represents concentration of capital towards more important node peers instead of many connections to less important peers.
reply
Public capacity is a bad metric, stability is ok since we know the network is growing... but public growth is suboptimal
Stable to down means existing capacity is becoming efficient, and new capacity is more private
reply
Cashu will become the norm on nostr Lightning will be the tissue that bridges other layers to bitcoin .......Something like that
reply
Maybe. I have not really started to study cashu so I have no idea. I see new solutions to scale but all need some kind of trust.
reply
117 sats \ 2 replies \ @ek 20 Jul
Every time someone says scaling and cashu in the same sentence, Satoshi Nakamoto is rolling in his hypothetical grave and @calle wonders what he has done
reply
deleted by author
reply
50 sats \ 0 replies \ @ek 23 Jul
Not as a scaling solution
reply
Why cashu and not fedimint?
reply
The network is maturing. Maybe the reality of making money running a routing hobby node led to the number of overall channels going down but if we have a crazy bull market with low to moderate fees I can see people trying to spin up nodes and earn routing fees again
reply
Looks like exchanges or something stacking up more wumbo channels driving up capacity,
reply
Long live Lightning Network!
reply
I would say that all of this surge is due to Stacker News?
reply
deleted by author
reply
Thanks for sharing! When you state total capacity is increasing indicating greater liquidity, does this mean that channel sizes are increasing (more volume of satoshis going through the same or reduced channels)?
reply
The lightning network will always be good for small fast transactions. But I would rather keep my wealth on the main blockchain.
reply
stackers have outlawed this. turn on wild west mode in your /settings to see outlawed content.