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this war of attrition is an extreme burden for both sides. but at this point the Russians have a clear advantage and are gaining ground. Putin will expand the catalog with every rejection of his proposals, which means that the costs for the other side will continue to rise. At this point he would have achieved his minimum goals, Ukraine would not be a NATO member, he would have the resource-rich regions of Luhansk and Donbass under control, a neutral buffer between the NATO states and Russia in this region and, above all, he would have finally secured Crimea as an important naval base under his control.
At first glance, I also think Putin has some advantages, but is that really the case? I always have my doubts. I believe this war will end when one side runs out of money or when the people, whether Ukrainian or Russian, revolt.
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financially, the eurozone is on very thin ice right now. russia has very low national debt economic growth and has built up a strong alliance with China and the other states. in my opinion, russia has an advantage as an energy-strong country.
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Russian energy resources are a significant asset, possibly the main one. With Europe on the brink of a financial catastrophe, the only question is how much the United States is willing to invest in Ukraine.
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In 5 months this will be answered.
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