Collinsworth was apoplectic.
It was second or third down and they had one time out.
The patriots defense was the worst in short yardage that season.
Beast mode almost got into the end zone the play before the interception.
What Annie Duke doesn’t mention or realize is that interception rate increases as you get closer to the end zone
I also think there are moments/situations that are so important and specific that the aggregate probabilities don’t apply.
Analytics would say you should never bunt in baseball but if it’s the bottom of the 9th man on second, no one out and a tie game and you have Martin Maldonado at the plate, you should probably bunt the guy over because it is more likely to work than for that hitter to get a hit.
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