I'd take the over. Internet/smart phone physical hardware already adopted, allowing pure software to spread faster. And that's just humans. I think there will be far more AI agents with BTC keys.
Has anyone started making similar adoption comparisons for Nostr yet?
I don't think there's any Nostr comparison out yet.
Yes, you're probably right, the stage is set for a rapid adoption , however I don't get it why it's taking longer.
May be the need of a bit of technical knowledge while using Bitcoin.
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It's not taken over yet because it's difficult to use, very regulated, highly taxed, and most people don't see the compounding effects of inflation and believe the government statistics.
Most people are just living their lives, many paycheck-to-paycheck. They don't have time for the rabbit hole.
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21 sats \ 1 reply \ @ek 9 Apr
Has anyone started making similar adoption comparisons for Nostr yet?
I heard the theory that in the beginning, bitcoin adoption grows nostr but at some point it will flip.
Assuming this will happen, I think it's fair to say nostr adoption will outpace bitcoin adoption later on.
I also think the premise makes sense since it's easier to get started on nostr: you simply download an app which can automatically generate a key pair for you. To get started on bitcoin, you need to deal with money which you can't simply download. You can download a wallet but not satoshis.
However, there are some hidden premises like nostr surviving long enough to reach bitcoin escape velocity.
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This is the most rational answer to Nostr growth.
Where the answer is about "the number of people using Bitcoin in 2048?"
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