Stroud's such a tough case. It's so easy for folks to come out strong as a rookie but not keep it up due to injuries or whatnot (RG3, etc). I might drop Allen a few spots because he seems guaranteed to have two or three surprise duds a season, and I'd probably throw Prescott further down the list just because of his big game issues, but otherwise, this is a pretty solid snapshot, and I don't think I can come up with a better one.
Fair points. Stroud was so impressive for a rookie though. He and Collins seem like a magical tandem that could be great for years but you're right maybe it's small sample and recency bias.
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