I'm sure you have all thought of this before but I haven't. If Bitcoin is so great what's to stop a different Satoshi Angel from immaculate conception of a similar idea. Let's call it Bytecoin. Let's say Bytecoin drops next year and in 10 years is ifinirly more popular and more utilized than Bitcoin. Your Bitcoin still has value but but will h less demand for Bitcoin and more for Bytecoin it not worth as much anymore. Would it really be that difficult to copy the Bitcoin idea? It seems like real success would be whatever coin is adopted more widely. Thoughts?
Simple answer is nothing is stopping this from happening. However, people severely under estimate the first mover advantage of BTC. The idea that there is no figure head in charge, its true decentralization. The creator has been absent and hasn't touched its fortune in over a decade. There is security in that, which given how all other alt-coins have turned out it would be extremely difficult for people to put trust and belief in this new coin. Especially after all the capital and investments that have been made into BTC. I believe there is no way an anon creator would ever be trusted today.
also, Bytecoin has existed since 2014.
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HA! Of course it has. You make some good points. Thanks for your reply.
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This question was what kept me from getting into bitcoin until somewhat recently. First mover advantage allowed bitcoin to build network effects that make it much more valuable than a new clone would be.
At this point, the new coin would have to have major advantages that bitcoin is unable to incorporate.
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Gotcha. That makes sense. Luckily it didn't keep me from getting in but it has started to worry me a bit the more I think on things.
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It prevented me from solely accumulating BTC until it clicked. Sold all the alts and haven't touched them since.
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I still have some alts but plan to sell them after the next pump.
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To each their own, I wish you best of luck. Just know it may never happen, I recall 2018/2019 winter where all the coins (Dash/LTC/Zcash and many more) all bled and never recovered both in USD terms and have lost dramatically against BTC. Even ETH hasn't kept pace. Alts tend to syphon users BTC away and create bag holders.
I'm not going to chastise you like others here may, I don't know your holdings/goals, but time spent around this industry tends to bring people back to the king.
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Well I appreciate you not chastising me. I do understand it's a risk but one I'm comfortable with.
No guarantee those alts outperform bitcoin, or that you'll time the trade right if they do :)
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That's true but I'd say there's not much guarantee on anything.
I heard Bytecoin is 8 times better. 😂
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First mover advantage is key. Everything after bitcoin has come into existence in a world where Bitcoin exists. Bitcoin didn't suffer from this same disadvantage.
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Especially after all the capital and investments that have been made into BTC. I believe there is no way an anon creator would ever be trusted today.
Satoshi was not blindly trusted, people read the code themselves and decided to run it. If a new anon creator offers something interesting, especially if that be tech orders of magnitude better than Bitcoin while being just and decentralized, people will adopt that tech, especially if they could not incorporate such tech within Bitcoin.
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Interesting. Okay, I'm going to have to do some more research I guess.
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A few things to consider...
  1. Bitcoin is not just software. It's a massive network of nodes, miners and people who currently hold their wealth and believe in it. That's incredibly difficult to copy.
  2. Everything is a trade off. If someone figured out how to make a "better" Bitcoin what that really means is they are making different trade offs. This is the famous scalability vs security vs decentralization trilemma. Changing one impacts the others.
  3. If there really is some undiscovered innovation that could be changed at the software level what stops it being implemented in Bitcoin?
The last thing I will say is that we don't know for sure what the market will value in the future. Is it possible that in 50 years from now governments stop printing money, become completely honest, transparent, trustworthy and friendly? In that world, Bitcoin wouldn't be as valuable.
It seems like real success would be whatever coin is adopted more widely.
Bitcoin is already successful. Is it adopted more widely than the US dollar? Obviously not. Adoption is only one metric to measure success. Real success is simply solving real problems and I would argue Bitcoin is already doing that quite well.
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Bitcoin is not just software. It's a massive network of nodes, miners and people who currently hold their wealth and believe in it. That's incredibly difficult to copy.
Well said.
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It's a beginner question, but it's a great and important question, and honestly, most people probably couldn't give good answers to it.
If Bitcoin is so great what's to stop a different Satoshi Angel from immaculate conception of a similar idea.
Nothing stops a different Satoshi from doing that.
Would it really be that difficult to copy the Bitcoin idea?
No, it would be trivial.
It seems like real success would be whatever coin is adopted more widely.
Correct.
Now here's your homework. Which coin would be adopted more widely, and why?
Full disclosure: you can answer this question in a sentence. You can also spend five years unpacking that sentence.
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Well, it's nice to hear my brain is on the right track at least. I guess my immediate answer would be a government token. But that definitely would not be decentralized or transparent so I guess that's a whole different thing all together. I'm guessing that's not far off anyway. I also think 85% of the population lives it's life of group think and acceptance. I think it would take a respected public figure to push adoption of a new coin. We've already seen Elon push shitcoins and demand go up in the short term. I don't have a good answer yet. The internet has changed so much about how society trusts and functions as a whole. There's no Walter Cronkite anymore and I don't think there's any figure like that to push mass adoption and have the masses willing to accept it; at least not right now.
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Mass adoption of something does not make it valuable. The US dollar has mass adoption already, yet has lost 98% of its value even while going from the currency of a single country, to the worlds currency, in that time period.
A government shitcoin will have the exact same fate.
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I agree.
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Mass adoption of something does not make it valuable. The US dollar has mass adoption already, yet has lost 98% of its value even while going from the currency of a single country, to the worlds currency, in that time period.
I disagree. Adoption does make money valuable. The dollar has lost only 98% of its value - and this is one of the reasons why it is the dollar that was adopted during that period and not scamcoins like peso, bolivar, naira, lira, etc. Those other shitcoins have devalued more than the dollar.
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I think the adoption gives it utility among the people which makes it most valuable.
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Keep digging. When you get to the bottom you'll deeply understand bitcoin.
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Will do. Thank you!
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Be careful with shitcoiners pretending to be "beginners"... they just want to create noise.
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Okay Darth.
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First mover advantage is an interesting point, but in my mind, nothing after bitcoin can be as "fair" as bitcoin. Think of it, now that we know cryptocurriencies work, they're assigned a value right out the gate. There are speculators and premines.. Every project is tainted by the promise of making big bucks.
When bitcoin was released, it was a toy. It didn't even have a real price until much later, and even then, people had no idea if it would "work" long-term.
This fairness needs to be intact for mass adoption. How many people really want to buy something that the owner premined 60% of the supply of, and effectively has all the control?
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This is one of the most difficult things to get, or at least it was for me. The idea of coin distribution seems so trivial; and yet it can probably never happen again in a reasonable way, for the reasons you mentioned. Really hard for new people to understand the magnitude of that truth.
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Bytecoin it was just my made up example. I did not realize it was a real thing.
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Nothing is stopping anyone from spinning up a new network, nothing is stopping anyone from forking Bitcoin and airdropping people the new coin.
But that doesn't mean they can transfer the user base, the various nodes, apps, wallets and service providers, bitcoin has a network effect, which is pretty hard to break network effect even if its rubbish.
Look at all the issues people have with big tech like Google, Facebook etc, yet the network effect continues on, despite them diluting the product over time. Now imagine how sticky a network is when its rewarding people and has a continued track record.
In theory a network could come along and become more distributed than Bitcoin sure, but theory is one thing, practice is another and its highly unlikley. In theory there could be a new internet, faster, and better but we've already sunk so much time, effort and infrastructure into the current system that migrating away would be near impossible.
If networks want to compete against Bitcoin, thats all good and well, but if Bitcoin keeps demonitising other networks, whats keeping people from moving to the strongest network?
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Would it really be that difficult to copy the Bitcoin idea?
Just to copy Bitcoin it is trivial, you can do it yourself with git clone https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin.git . To convince developers to contribute to it and to maintain such a fork you would need to rewrite it, or write an entirely new protocol from scratch, so that it be way better than Bitcoin. I mean orders of magnitude better.
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There literally was a shitcoin clone of BTC called bytecoin. The idea was it was a “fair launch”. Scam.
Then there was the precursor to XMR, bytecoin. This bytecoin was a scam with a deliberately restricted miner. Also, when the low order generator bug was responsibly disclose , it was exploited by a disclosee. Iirc the exchanges took the L. It’s mostly all delisted now.
there is no second or even 8x best.
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Thank you for the history lesson. I did not know that.
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If you look at the power outlet in your house, you’ll get it. It’s a really old technology, but a new option would need to provide a 10x improvement to over take it. So 1st mover wins!
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Thanks.
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There are many that have tried to copy or make a similar one. They are called SHITCOINS. I remember when ripple was new, then stellar. I believe both of them have had scandals. The heads reaping profit (pump amd dump) and then making them stagnate for a long time. I cant even keep track of how many coins have come and gone since. Take that with a grain of salt amd ponder why..
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First of all Bytecoin has been in existence since 2014.
There's nothing that's stopping or an obstacle to making an Altcoin a.k.a. shitcoin a successful one.
You're true that the most widely adopted coin would be the most successful.
But, within last 15 years, no coin has even come closer to boasting same merits as Bitcoin already have.
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My introduction to bitcoin was Silk Road in 2012.
Trust cash, Bit instant and Mt Gox
I started my bitcoin education after
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Sounds like you've been at this for a while.
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Sort of but not really
New to lightning and liquid
I’m not a programmer or miner.
Learning is never ending depending on how deep you want to immerse yourself
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Thank your for your valuable contribution to the conversation.
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Somebody that want to learn about Bitcoin, doesn't come and first post is about how to change Bitcoin or create another shitcoin... So you literally show us that you have no interest in learning Bitcoin. I am getting tired of all these shitcoineries.
The universal rule of: Winner takes it all.
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The universal rule of: Winner takes it all.
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Nothing stopping it but why would anyone adopt bytecoin?
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Bytecoin was just my made up example. I did not realize it was a real thing.
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Well, it's nice to hear my brain is on the right track at least. I guess my immediate answer would be a government token. But that definitely would not be decentralized or transparent so I guess that's a whole different thing all together. I'm guessing that's not far off anyway. I also think 85% of the population lives it's life of group think and acceptance. I think it would take a respected public figure to push adoption of a new coin. We've already seen Elon push shitcoins and demand go up in the short term. I don't have a good answer yet. The internet has changed so much about how society trusts and functions as a whole. There's no Walter Cronkite anymore and I don't think there's any figure like that to push mass adoption and have the masses willing to accept it; at least not right now.
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