The demographic collapse of the West can be illustrated using the following graphics from the EU, South Korea and Japan. The collapse of birth rates per capita is not at least a cultural-political phenomenon that I attribute above all to the constant growth of the welfare state that provides everything. Of course, Cultural Marxism's attacks on the institution of marriage and economic life also have an impact on birth rates (maybe the WS is part of CM?). This will also have consequences for the Fiat monetary system! The other graphic shows the reduction in consumption potential, which will undoubtedly have a deflationary effect. In addition, there are productivity gains through the faster adaptation of technology such as robotics or AI, which are likely to exert additional deflationary tendencies.
The fiat monetary system, which is dependent on inflation (debt usually is fixed in nominal terms) for its existence, is now entering a spiral of death. The conversion of the central bank and state system as we know it today in order to knead and incorporate further debt into the existing financial system should provide an object lesson for future generations on how not to do this.
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52 sats \ 1 reply \ @cascdr 2 Mar
Here's a talk I watched a while back that I found interesting where he explores the demographic/economic implications of most major countries. I think he's exceptionally pro West, anti bitcoin and overly bullish on unreliable "green" energy but he may have some points here based on the data he presented.
I made a TLDR of it with AI as well:
Peter Zeihan's analysis of demographics and its impact on the economies of various nations is both fascinating and thought-provoking. Through his insights, we gain a deeper understanding of the complex interplay between population trends, strategic positioning, and economic outcomes.
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One of the key takeaways from Zeihan's analysis is the importance of demographics in shaping a nation's economic future. He highlights how the aging population in North America, particularly those aged 55 to 65, holds a significant portion of global private capital. This demographic group plays a crucial role in driving economic growth and stability.
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Zeihan also delves into the strategic implications of military capabilities and global power dynamics. He discusses the naval buildout of China and its potential to become a peer competitor to the United States by 2170. This insight underscores the importance of military posture in maintaining global dominance and security.
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Moreover, Zeihan's analysis of Russia's population decline and infrastructure challenges sheds light on the country's vulnerabilities in the face of economic disruptions. He emphasizes the reliance of Russia on foreign expertise and resources for its mineral extraction industry, highlighting the risks associated with geopolitical tensions and sanctions.
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The discussion on the shale fields of Western North Dakota and the challenges of transporting natural gas further underscores the complexities of energy production and distribution. Zeihan's insights into the impact of transport systems on resource utilization provide valuable insights into the energy sector's role in shaping economic outcomes.
Overall, Peter Zeihan's analysis offers a compelling narrative on the interconnectedness of demographics, strategic positioning, and economic prosperity. His insights challenge us to rethink traditional models and consider the implications of shifting global dynamics on the future of nations and economies.
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11 sats \ 0 replies \ @TomK OP 2 Mar
Perfect. Thank You very much
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41 sats \ 3 replies \ @PlebeiusG 2 Mar
Ooh ooh. Now show Chinese and Russian data... π
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23 sats \ 2 replies \ @TomK OP 2 Mar
I know I know. That's why I like India so far....
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34 sats \ 1 reply \ @cascdr 2 Mar
for all his flaws this is one topic I like to hear Peter Zeihan talk on.
What I've seen him say is that essentially everyone except India and Mexico has pretty bad demographics and that compared to Europe, China and Russia the US is not too bad.
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3 sats \ 0 replies \ @TomK OP 2 Mar
Good take by him
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31 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined 2 Mar
I often have a nagging thought that the depopulationists have won some victory that we weren't even aware of. Thanos snapped as it were.
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0 sats \ 3 replies \ @Bell_curve 3 Mar
Great graphics especially Japan π―π΅ and South Korea π°π·.
One big problem is these countries donβt have a 40 hour work week. Too many workaholic averaging more than 60 hours per week. Not much time left over for reproduction and childcare.
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10 sats \ 2 replies \ @TomK OP 3 Mar
That's the trap. They need to work more (Japan didn't allow mass immigration) to fill the rising gaps in their welfare state... less time... less family life.... less children. A vicious circle
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21 sats \ 1 reply \ @Bell_curve 3 Mar
Pensions and medical care for elderly
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10 sats \ 0 replies \ @TomK OP 3 Mar
Yes. Social costs are exploding meanwhile the potential for investments in productivity growth diminishes.
But at this point I guess the family as the real social fabric will see its comeback. Here in Spain a lot of young adults and elder people are living at their parent's (or kid's) home to save money. Maybe it starts at this point.
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0 sats \ 21 replies \ @OgFOMK 2 Mar
This is all FIAT funded data, thinking and the continuation of 20th century over think.
None of this data is older than 1900. Humans are in our modern form about 50,000 years.
Always a focus on the other and never the SELF.
Central planning is all about justifying the central planning.
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10 sats \ 20 replies \ @TomK OP 2 Mar
So You think demografics are irrelevant?
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0 sats \ 19 replies \ @OgFOMK 2 Mar
Yes. People act based on individual reasons.
https://mises.org/library/book/human-action
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21 sats \ 13 replies \ @Bell_curve 3 Mar
Why do we have diversity mandates and affirmative action?
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0 sats \ 12 replies \ @OgFOMK 3 Mar
Which we is this?
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10 sats \ 10 replies \ @TomK OP 3 Mar
Do You live on Your own island with Your family without any contact to western civ?
Good for You.
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21 sats \ 6 replies \ @OgFOMK 3 Mar
We don't need government. We are responsible for our own actions. The solutions and the problems are our responsibility. The Monopoly of violence is available for those who can not think for themselves.
People outsource their intelligence to central planners and they suffer immeasurably because they are asleep.
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20 sats \ 3 replies \ @TomK OP 3 Mar
I completely agree with you. my point was to point out some empirical data that will create major economic distortions in the adjustment process.
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31 sats \ 1 reply \ @Bell_curve 3 Mar
This sounds great in theory unfortunately reality has proven otherwise
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21 sats \ 2 replies \ @Bell_curve 3 Mar
So many stackers work for amnesty international
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10 sats \ 0 replies \ @TomK OP 3 Mar
AI really is the worst bunch of commies that make themselves feel good by scratching each other's balls and stupidly attacking those who think differently.
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @TomK OP 3 Mar
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21 sats \ 0 replies \ @Bell_curve 3 Mar
Why does USA πΊπΈ have diversity mandates in school admissions and hiring?
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0 sats \ 4 replies \ @TomK OP 2 Mar
then please explain to me why people in this culture of Marxist states have abandoned the path of starting a family, which is the natural way of life?
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0 sats \ 3 replies \ @OgFOMK 3 Mar
Everyone?
No one is having babies anymore?
No families exist?
So you don't know anyone having a family?
I certainly do.
Change your circle and shut off the Mass Media.
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0 sats \ 2 replies \ @TomK OP 3 Mar
Back to my question: Do You really think that the collapse of birth rates doesn't have any socio-economic consequences? If so You should start studying history and economics.
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0 sats \ 1 reply \ @OgFOMK 3 Mar
Amazing!
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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @TomK OP 3 Mar
Try it. Could be a life changing experience.
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