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Study Econ
It's a big subject and I can't pay attention to everything all the time. I'm not really a macro guy and the monetary deflation of the past year is historically unprecedented, so I don't know if more studying would have helped.
I have been thinking about macro questions more since finding Stacker News, so perhaps my instincts on the subject will improve.
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Already have, I'd say.
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Study Econ. There is always a lag. They are very cunning in their communications, because being clear can bring undesirable effects.