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Maybe it wasn't that good an idea to fall into the Covid trap and let politicians all over the world destroy economic chains by locking them down! The effects will hunt us for years to come. In recent months, the world has witnessed a significant surge in rice prices, reaching a 15-year high. While this may seem like a distant concern for some, the repercussions are profound, especially for the vulnerable economies of many developing nations.
Historically, spikes in rice prices have been directly correlated with heightened food insecurity in impoverished regions. When the cost of this staple rises, it places an immediate burden on the most vulnerable populations who heavily rely on rice as a primary source of sustenance. Families living on the brink of poverty often allocate a significant portion of their income to meet basic dietary needs. A surge in rice prices amplifies the struggle to put food on the table, exacerbating hunger and malnutrition.
For nations with fragile economies, the rise in rice prices poses a dual challenge. Firstly, it strains the purchasing power of consumers, leading to increased poverty rates. Secondly, it places additional stress on governments already grappling with economic vulnerabilities. As history has shown, these economic shocks can lead to social unrest and political instability, further hindering the development prospects of these nations.
Examining past crises, such as the food price spikes in 2008 and 2011, provides valuable insights into the potential consequences of the current situation. During these periods, we observed a domino effect that transcended borders, with soaring rice prices triggering a chain reaction impacting various sectors, from agriculture to health and education.
Interesting. Quick preamble: I didn't do any homework before replying so my reply may lack knowledge.
I am wondering which nations you refer to. For example in Japan, the market for rice is quite mainly local. I am tempted to say only local but I am sure there are imports for Indian and Thai or Chinese food. In Vietnam, they have their rice also, so I guess there is a strong local market. Same for Thailand, India. I forgot for the other countries in Asia though. I remember friends from Mali saying they were making their own rice, a type of rice we don't see in Asia (or at least I didn't see it there).
So given the markets for rice remain as far as I know relatively local, I wonder if price of rice increasing on the international market has really an impact on local markets. Maybe the primary resources used may potentially have a stronger impact? Or is it impacting places with war or social instabilities?
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In today's world, farmers can chose to sell internationally pretty quickly. These local markets can easily be disrupted. It is why these countries have controls and tarrifs to keep cheaper imported rice from killing theocal market.
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It makes sense and I agree. I didn't study all the countries producing rice but at least all the countries I have been to where people commonly eat rice are also producers, not necessarily internationally though (e.g.: who cares about rice from Indonesia, never seen it in supermarkets of other regional countries). And countries like Japan have tariffs like you mentioned anyway, so I don't see there either higher international price of rice affecting protected markets (or maybe so small I didn't notice it as a consumer?). Maybe Chinese communities overseas would be affected? But I may be missing some elements, I have never been to countries like Pakistan where it looks more socially unstable.
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I think there are immense differences between regions. But it's always the same candidates (Africa) that are hit hard if prices spike. Here in Spain there was no change within 3 years
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21 sats \ 1 reply \ @john_doe 5 Jan
Ah I see. I thought the discussion about the price spike was a shorter time frame. If it is on a time frame of 3 years then at least for Japan, due to the corona virus money, the price of rice has risen (and so did everything). I am wondering if in Spain what you experienced was not just a change of producer. In Japan for example, almonds I usually bought are now from Vietnam, brands of fermented soya (nattô) I was used to buy also changed their way of production. A friend who works in the industry told me that the producers who sell domestically to the supermarkets are forced to sell at the same price and hence became poorer because of the price of their inputs grew (during your time frame of 3 years). So consumers don't necessarily see the difference in the supermarkets, but if they buy to the farmers directly (like me), then they see the difference. That being said, I really would like to go to Africa to see how it is over there. It would be interesting to see how price spikes impacts people.
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Oh, it's possible that they changed suppliers, yes.
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I digress but by the way I had quite a good experience with rice in Vietnam. Relatively cheap, quite good and somewhat unique in the texture. However it was not sold in supermarkets and I had to dive in the small shops to get it.
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