The link for this post uses a read-only front-end for Twitter, which can be easier to read for viewing a full Twitter thread. The Tweet that kicked off the thread is:

Only 2% of economists think the recession will start before December 31, 2022.

But there’s a good chance we are in it right now.

Here’s the evidence.

https://twitter.com/MichaelAArouet/status/1536322588204490753