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They'll try to enforce regulation anywhere they can. Big public LSPs will definitely become a target. However, when most people run their own nodes, or start sharing smaller community nodes, that'll then become very hard, if not impossible to enforce - And I think that's the direction we need to go.
Yeah, I think we basically agree.
Yes, and my pessimistic guess is that LN providers like ASYNQ and Breeze are also going to be targets even though they're non-custodial. I wish I'm wrong about it.
Maybe Lightning on Liquid would be a good thing (Juraj Bednar proposed it too). Sort of like real LN but with negligible costs to open and close channels.