Like most countries, the UK seems to be caught between a rock and a hard place when it comes to taxes and government spending.
Public services cost a lot of money. Taxes are also already quite high. But the total amount paid in taxes is less than the amount of government spending.
So it has to borrow the difference. And it does this nearly every year.
Which means the combined total of all of this debt keeps increasing and is not being paid off.
This chart shows you how much more debt has been added every year from 1994. There are only 2 years where debt was repaid, way back in 2000 and 2001.
In the last two years, about £300 Billion has been added to this debt pile. Which was already pretty high.
So currently, the UK Government, on behalf of the people of the UK, owes about £2.6 Trillion.
That's about £39,000 per person!
But here's the issue. There are only two ways to fix this.
One, reduce government spending. But that means big cuts to services and welfare to get spending down and pay off debt. Not popular!
Two, increase taxes. But that means big tax increases to cover spending and pay off debt. Not popular!
Instead, politicians, pundits and economists pretend its not a problem...
And the debt keeps going up!
The other option is productivity growth which has been quite low for a number of years unfortunately.
reply
Agree it could help, higher productivity leads to a higher tax take, but as you say, based on history, its not clear the UK is capable of achieving this, any more than any other major European country.
So, Opinion(!); The UK economy is stuck in a low growth, high tax, high regulation, low productivity recurring cycle. The political system offers voters rewards that the country simply cannot afford but no one is prepared to admit it because the whole facade would fall down. (All Parties!). We need serious root cause analysis with a long term plan based on an honest assessment of the situation, and instead we see the blame game, short term imaginary quick fixes and grand projects; and the re-enabling of the BOE magic money tree when the next recession hits (just dont call it QE!).
Either way there's no serious plan anywhere to address gov debt. Sure, the UK will not default, cos it still prints its own money. But the cost of that debt to ordinary people (eg inflation; decline of home ownership; lack of financial independence for young people, etc) will increase, along with social problems/division continuing to worsen...
Course, I could be wrong...
reply