Unlikely.
People love to hop from one cool thing to the other cool thing. When too many people start to use something, it becomes less cool.
Protocols however have a higher chance of surviving longer term.
Nostr would be one such protocol that I have high hopes for. Even though apps built on the protocol might die with the next hype, an identity built on Nostr should transcend its use for a specific app and thus be used with the app that replaces the app that just died.
10,000 years, that's another story.
Agreed. Nostr is particularly promising. Protocol is exactly what I'm thinking about. Is there a protocol that can be followed which makes it OK if the app dies? Linux is a good example, it's fine if people stop using Debian or Arch or whatever. Linux persists. Can that property be built into a web app? DNS makes it tough..
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