Lightning needed segwit. I guess I am more worried about the regulatory capture for new users in the future, like after the US confiscated gold etc, sure rich families and hoarders had some they could access but the avg person saw their wealth inflated away... without self custody scaling solutions the bitcoiners of tomorrow would be stuck with bitcoin certificates in some bizzaro bitcoin backed fiat illusion. A 51% attack is temporary L1 capture it is far from impossible for a state to accomplish... also a state coercing mining pools to censor would be regulatory capture, very difficult, not impossible.

I don't think lightning scales and fedi is custodial, I don't see it working long term, maybe for very tiny communities and edge cases but the masses are almost surely to get stuck with wallstreet compliant BS without other layers. Hopefully we can figure some other way to create trustless 2wp if we can't upgrade further