I don't know about this series of events being the catalyst, moreso think it will be an economic shock in the fall, but I definitely think at least testing 20k is in the cards. I don't know about 15k that would probably require a ton of coins to move onto exchange, which has not been the trend at all but maybe the government selling or Mt Gox payouts makes it feasible.
Don't know. Don't care. Stacking daily.