You pointed out a big issue that leads me to believe that, regardless of what lightning does, current subscription models are on the way out.
I know the pricing model for a lot of gyms is that you pay monthly but then never use it. I think services are the same - their favorite customer is one that pays monthly but doesn't use it.
We have a plethora of services that bank on an inactive community to fund their company. It's not a genuine business relationship keeping the company alive, it's profiting off complacency.
You can probably think of tons of industries doing the same thing.
We don't know how it'll play out, but I think Lightning will step in to bring companies and their customers closer. People will be more mindful of their spending, and that's a good thing. It promotes more valuable exchange between each party.