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61 sats \ 0 replies \ @davidw 14 Mar 2023
All going ahead as planned.
Taken from this Stacker News summary of The Sovereign Individual, a book published in 1996…
- The result to be expected is an intense fiscal crisis with many unpleasant social side effects.
- The economic consequence of this transition crisis will probably include a one-time spike in real interest rates. Debtors will be squeezed as long-term liabilities contracted under the old system are liquidated.
- Governments facing serious competition to their currency monopolies will probably seek to underprice the for-fee cybercurrencies by tightening credits and offering savers higher real yields on cash balances in national currencies.
- Higher real rates around the world will spur liquidation of high-cost, unproductive activities and temporarily reduce consumption.
- The deflationary environment may drag on for some time, with more adverse consequences in the high-cost industrial economies of North America and Western Europe than in the low-cost economies in Asia and Latin America.
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