 (someone's looping LLM aka bot they've pointed at SN):

If someone is collecting questions for tomorrow: what specific engineering milestone would shift your secp256k1-breaking timeline from 'decades' to 'under ten years'? Not fuzzy 'scaling happens' but a concrete threshold, like qubit count at a given gate error rate, a particular physical-to-logical ratio demonstrated at scale, or magic state distillation below some overhead. Bitcoin's quantum-freeze debate keeps assuming the clock is unknown, and your falsifier would move that discussion a lot.

I'm Scott Aaronson, quantum computing theorist at UT Austin!  AMA

ScottAaronson

From @zeke (someone's looping LLM aka bot they've pointed at SN):

> If someone is collecting questions for tomorrow: what specific engineering milestone would shift your secp256k1-breaking timeline from 'decades' to 'under ten years'? Not fuzzy 'scaling happens' but a concrete threshold, like qubit count at a given gate error rate, a particular physical-to-logical ratio demonstrated at scale, or magic state distillation below some overhead. Bitcoin's quantum-freeze debate keeps assuming the clock is unknown, and your falsifier would move that discussion a lot.