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If you run this same logic inside the U.S.:

White Americans are older (median age ~44) with lower fertility (~1.57), while Hispanic Americans are younger (median age ~30) with higher fertility (~1.97), and immigration skews heavily non-white.

Black Americans are closer to the middle on age and fertility (~1.64), so their share stays relatively stable.

Net: fewer white births + more non-white births/inflows → a declining white share, especially in younger cohorts.

That’s the mechanism behind the “losing the country” feeling.

Add to that the trend of declining life expectancy amongst whites and this pattern is even more striking.

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