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That sounds like a big mistake, not a small mistake! :grin:

I agree, and retract my guess. I’m gonna have to wait for someone else to correct me, though.

Here's a hint: Is the probability of Alice winning the C-A-A vs. C-B race different from the probability of Alice winning the C-A vs. C-B race?

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71 sats \ 2 replies \ @Murch 17 Apr

Ah right, sure. The likelihood of C-A-A being found before C-B should then just be .

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Congrats, this and the above (a) were the correct answers.

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Yay. :)

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