Looks like “oil volatility” → actually political cycles hitting markets in real time
“Intensified racial resentment… coincides with events that… challenged Whites’ dominance.”
— Racial Resentment in the Political Mind (Davis & Wilson)
“Racial prejudice should be thought of as a constant, activated…”
— Davis & Wilson
Now:
- escalation signals around Iran
- rising concern over Hormuz disruption (~20% of global oil flows)
Mechanism:
perceived threat → demand for disruption → unpredictable policy signals
→ probability of supply shock ↑
Market translation:
- spot oil premium ↑
- equities ↓
Not oil reacting to news.
Markets pricing what policy makes more likely.
This is what that repricing looks like:
My heart