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What could have been in the EO:

  • 3 million new homes over four years
  • tax incentives for builders
  • a $40 billion affordable-housing fund

What the EO actually does:

  • trims federal (not local) permitting and regulatory friction
  • pushes best practices for states and cities
  • leans toward single-family / manufactured housing

What it does not do:

  • override local zoning
  • remove density caps
  • cut minimum lot sizes

That distinction matters.

Austin’s rent drop followed a real supply surge:
about 120,000 units, roughly 30% more housing stock.

That pushed vacancies up, landlord leverage down, and rents lower, including for lower-end units.

Austin changed the local rules that block supply.
This EO doesn’t come close to reproducing that mechanism at scale.