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It's that time of year again stackers. Time for March Madness.

Selection Sunday is near and first round games start a week from today.

Prize pool will be comprised of buy ins plus all sats (minus fee) zapped to all posts relating to the contest.

Buy in: 2100 sats

Here are the contest rules:

Each round participants will pick one team to win their game in that round. There are no limitations to the number of times a participant may pick a single team. If a player's chosen team loses there will be no points assigned to that player for the round. If a player's chosen team wins that player will be assigned points based on the round value of the win and the seed value of the team. Each round will have an escalating point value assigned to a win and teams are seeded from 1 to 16.

Round value for a win
Round of 64: 1 point
Round of 32: 1 point
Round of 16: 2 points
Quarterfinals: 4 points
Semi-Finals: 8 points
Finals: 16 points

So, if a player picks a 1 seed to win in the round of 64 and they win that will be worth 2 total points. 1 for the win and 1 for the seed. A 2 seed winning would be worth 3 total points and so on. The participant with the most points at the end of the tournament wins the prize pool. If there is a possibility the contest may end in a tie, heading into the final game players will choose a tiebreaker along with their final game pick. Tiebreaker will be determined at the time of the final post.

If you want to buy in, please comment to this post and I can send an invoice. Buy ins will remain open until 12pm et on Thursday March 19th.

I will post the matchups and open submissions for the round of 64 early next week.

Good Luck!

I like that round of 64 and 32 are worth 1 point for a win

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I need to pick a 11/12/13 seed on Thu or Fri

from the power rank newsletter:

My college basketball team rankings take margin of victory in games and adjust for strength of schedule based on my algorithms at The Power Rank. Here are my tournament win probabilities based on these numbers:

Arizona, 29.8%.
Michigan, 23.6%.
Duke, 19.2%.
Florida, 8.9%.
Houston, 4.8%.
Iowa State, 3.6%.
UConn, 2.9%.
Purdue, 1.3%.

In contrast to these numbers, the markets favor Michigan and Duke despite injuries to key players.

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Of course I'm in! Plenty of fun last year. Only problem we don't get matches here..

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Please send me invoice to participate @StackerSports

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Count me in!

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Did everyone end of paying for Fantasy Baseball?

lnbc21u1p5m9ledsp5rf53hnryq3ew5xznt7aajehn7l4tsavmj5uvsxtp7nljxf3ru65spp5qzjqwus97x2faf9nf5n5h2psxdcqf27g4axqj9kh7yaejwgpnzvshp5uwcvgs5clswpfxhm7nyfjmaeysn6us0yvjdexn9yjkv3k7zjhp2sxq9z0rgqcqpnrzjqt9dfmzv3vxu93crtgvf37teerr3dx7l7a8qrttv57h2t8v9ck0gkrvumyqqh5cqqyqqqqqqqqqqjfqqjq9qxpqysgqz84eyhwrtlhrzs5wwypyf7mqvvkg0ju8axdtwsnxaqkwvdlkx2kr6prqltvk3vtld8qsc37g7rfk4kz3cna2vm0we63xtz3xqefdgvqqh9evkc

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only one I'm waiting on is @realBitcoinDog

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Uh oh. Might have to kick him out of the league before opening day.

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I thought I paid already! I guess not?

I would’ve commented with a receiit

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Maybe I missed it? If you commented a receipt just link me here so I can record it. Otherwise, please send 10k sats to needcreations@strike.me

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you’re right I couldn’t find it!

I’ll take an invoice please tho I’m having issues

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New invoice this one should stay up @realBitcoinDog

lnbc100u1p5mtt0xsp5xxrh3dd97dhuzj3qgp806yg6n486nwkglyaurk5v4k9yzhpzn0nspp5md4836cu6wyzkemsps74dhv508t7thek55zawl6r4cp66tmuhqwshp5uwcvgs5clswpfxhm7nyfjmaeysn6us0yvjdexn9yjkv3k7zjhp2sxq9z0rgqcqpnrzjqdq8jm79ttkfnk83gfjee4n7ryyqzq9f36s5azgk2ftcndt7q48txr0hdyqqdcgqqqqqqqlgqqqqzycqyg9qxpqysgqza5w2d0z8vqfpfzvls49vpevd9xhpaes22twepldp4jcsscpml8r2xsym06n2e4el3dcc2v9w8za4t5st0gq8f8cfw8pgmpvvfj59pqp9c2qv5

I think this is only good for an hour

lnbc100u1p5mfmempp5sy4x7vd8zal8f204scpqmvzmnahl5m8ayzph50rhcgfp9llhhxjqdqqcqzzsxqrrs0fppqqg24m6tllklu8xkpktms96cwh8af0ktfsp5h2tla87apesppe8r2gdp86f4kug28672lkjzgq7rphzqj9kflfqq9qxpqysgq4v46wvw5whktt3vzv4e8ex0knxphhfkayjhxtdr265mnyhmdr6v5l7n5ytj76rnh4zns4zgqtmna0kxe8c8dlxr8ssfwe3sec4c89tsqcrlglx

lnbc21u1p5m9ledsp5rf53hnryq3ew5xznt7aajehn7l4tsavmj5uvsxtp7nljxf3ru65spp5qzjqwus97x2faf9nf5n5h2psxdcqf27g4axqj9kh7yaejwgpnzvshp5uwcvgs5clswpfxhm7nyfjmaeysn6us0yvjdexn9yjkv3k7zjhp2sxq9z0rgqcqpnrzjqt9dfmzv3vxu93crtgvf37teerr3dx7l7a8qrttv57h2t8v9ck0gkrvumyqqh5cqqyqqqqqqqqqqjfqqjq9qxpqysgqz84eyhwrtlhrzs5wwypyf7mqvvkg0ju8axdtwsnxaqkwvdlkx2kr6prqltvk3vtld8qsc37g7rfk4kz3cna2vm0we63xtz3xqefdgvqqh9evkc

just paid this

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received.

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Easy money I’m in

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Great

lnbc21u1p5m8z5qsp5k7ffddd9zyeq3hc8az0kcrqf76uj3f0hh6g5fav3lf2w3z20upsspp5dffd62mdgls6g2mfh4vtw24gdgmevdve5060nnpp5qmq3jzrzqrshp5uwcvgs5clswpfxhm7nyfjmaeysn6us0yvjdexn9yjkv3k7zjhp2sxq9z0rgqcqpnrzjqw0de9yc0j8n4hpgm269tm7qph4gwcyf5ys02uaapvpugrva87c7zr3jruqq2qsqqyqqqqlgqqqqtgqq2q9qxpqysgq0mqqvkkpkgz03u9cvw5j0d4899wvs4s7suxarrctyu0she6w8dt84sldsaetrnk7uca450zgz7h24du0gqzyq2chja7r5dzu4p0wv9gqyygxn6

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lnbc21u1p5m8z5qsp5k7ffddd9zyeq3hc8az0kcrqf76uj3f0hh6g5fav3lf2w3z20upsspp5dffd62mdgls6g2mfh4vtw24gdgmevdve5060nnpp5qmq3jzrzqrshp5uwcvgs5clswpfxhm7nyfjmaeysn6us0yvjdexn9yjkv3k7zjhp2sxq9z0rgqcqpnrzjqw0de9yc0j8n4hpgm269tm7qph4gwcyf5ys02uaapvpugrva87c7zr3jruqq2qsqqyqqqqlgqqqqtgqq2q9qxpqysgq0mqqvkkpkgz03u9cvw5j0d4899wvs4s7suxarrctyu0she6w8dt84sldsaetrnk7uca450zgz7h24du0gqzyq2chja7r5dzu4p0wv9gqyygxn6

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Got it. Came in around the same time as another one so I missed it. My apologies.

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I went 1-5 last year. I don’t think I can repeat a singular performance

Of course I am playing

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That's the spirit.

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My only win last year was Florida over Houston in the final

Florida is a possible number 1 seed and has a decent chance of repeating... I think I jinxed the gators lol

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Sent from goldfish858

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I have not done well in this contest either.

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Perplexity:

Here’s a concise summary and key highlights from that article: ncaa

Core takeawayCore takeaway

The 12-over-5 upset is common enough that it should always be on your bracket radar, with 12-seeds winning a bit over one-third of these games since 1985. ncaa

Big-picture statsBig-picture stats

  • Since the field expanded in 1985, No. 12 seeds have recorded 57 wins over No. 5 seeds. ncaa
  • Going into the 2026 tournament, 12-seeds are 57–103 vs. 5-seeds, a 35.63% win rate. ncaa
  • In 34 of the last 40 tournaments, at least one 12-seed has won a first-round game; the only years with no 12-seed wins are 1988, 2000, 2007, 2015, 2018, and 2023. ncaa

Recent 12–5 upsetsRecent 12–5 upsets

  • 2025: McNeese (12) beat Clemson (5) 69–67; Colorado State (12) beat Memphis (5) 78–70. ncaa
  • 2024: Grand Canyon (12) beat Saint Mary’s (5) 75–66; James Madison (12) beat Wisconsin (5) 72–61. ncaa
  • 2022: New Mexico State (12) beat UConn (5) 70–63; Richmond (12) beat Iowa (5) 67–63. ncaa
  • 2021: Oregon State (12) beat Tennessee (5) 70–56. ncaa

Example of “12 magic”Example of “12 magic”

In 2019, three different 12-seeds advanced: Oregon over Wisconsin, Murray State over Marquette, and Liberty over Mississippi State, underscoring how volatile this line can be in a single year. ncaa

12-seed vs 13-seed upset rate12-seed vs 13-seed upset rate

  • No. 13 seeds have 33 wins against No. 4 seeds since 1985, with a 33–127 overall record. ncaa
  • That’s a lower win percentage than 12-seeds vs. 5-seeds, so a 12–5 upset is historically more likely than a 13–4 upset. ncaa

Key bracket takeawaysKey bracket takeaways

  • You should almost expect at least one 12–5 upset each year based on recent history. ncaa
  • Some years (like 2013, 2014, 2019) multiple 12-seeds win, making that line a prime hunting ground for upset picks. ncaa

more sources:
https://www.perplexity.ai/search/https-www-ncaa-com-news-basket-4NQ26V8GQ9ON5XziLM8zfg

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I’ll play. Can’t have the reigning champion skip out!

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Champ is here. Hard to defend that title.

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Paid!

I'll do my best, but it's going to be hard to repeat.

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Received.

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I'm in.

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Great

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Take my money!

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Why not

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Great

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done

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Let's go, send the buy in and take note of my LN address for future payment of the prize, I'm feeling just right i think I'm going perfect this year

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Keep in mind this is not a bracket. It's a round by round points challenge.

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The feeling still the s same, winning mentality😂🤣

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If you go perfect, then you’ll win either way

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That's the goal 😀

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Take my money 💰 pretty please

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I’ll give it a shot

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That's the spirit.

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paid

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Buy in please

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Great

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I want some p’s

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What the heck, let's do this.

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That's the spirit.

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Received.

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Great

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