A lot of events are interconnected though, and people will argue over that word "plausibly". and this adds another layer of uncertainty to the resolution criteria.

Not that I think that'll stop any degens from yoloing into the prediction markets

SimpleStacker

Maybe he died from a panic attack or suicide

Bell_curve

That's why I'd guess their policy is "if this outcome was plausibly influenced by the death of someone, we do not payout."