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If I remember correct it was around here when Dario said something like it would be hard to predict for tasks that are unverifiable. I'd put cures for cancer in that category.

Dwarkesh Podcast: Dario Amodei — "We are near the end of the exponential"
Starting from: 00:12:40

Episode webpage: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/dario-amodei-2

Media file: https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/187852154/cecdbe38125e2786cbfebe31dd083d4f.mp3#t=1016