Nostr may or may not pan out. IMO the protocol spec is starting to become a real disjointed mess and there is not enough discussion at the core on how to pull things back together. The "creator" also helped create LNURL which has seemingly been abandoned and has not had any real improvement.
With bitcoin, there is infrastructure in place for core developers to discuss things and coordinate, authors to summarize and report, and everyone can understand the state of the ecosystem. We have mailing lists, forums, newsletters, etc. Lightning sort-of has this, but not as cohesive due to diverging implementations. Nostr doesn't have any real core developer discussion at all, and the majority of the spec doesn't even have an upgrade path.
It is still early and there is hope to turn things around. But who will lead the charge?
I agree that it might not work out. Also a fan of it and read a lot about it before it was even cool, but I'm afraid the rather inorganic explosion of traffic following Jack's flow of money and popularity might do bad to it.
I believe fiatjaf commented that nostr is in a very delicate situation right now.
Not trying to criticize it since I am hoping for a much better alternative to the currently centralized channels we have. As a messaging platform, nostr works great, especially with a private relay.
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