White evangelicals remain Trump's strongest religious bloc, but the erosion has started.White evangelicals remain Trump's strongest religious bloc, but the erosion has started.

A new Pew survey (Jan 20–26, 2026) shows 69% of white evangelicals approve of Trump's job performance. That's still dominant support. But it's down from 78% in early 2025.

Support for "all or most" of his plans and policies now sits at 58%, down 8 points from a year ago.

The sharper drop is on ethics: only 40% say they are extremely or very confident Trump acts ethically in office, a 15-point decline year over year.

That's the tell.

Approval softens. Policy support dips. But confidence in ethical conduct drops fastest.

Zoom out and the pattern holds across groups. White non-evangelical Protestants fell from 46% to 33% in support for his plans. Religiously unaffiliated adults dropped from 20% to 13%. Even among Republicans broadly, Pew notes declining confidence over the past year.

White evangelicals are still the only large religious group where a clear majority approve of Trump's job performance.

But the slope matters more than the level.

The coalition is intact. The enthusiasm is cooling. The ethical confidence gap is widening.

Politics often moves at the margins first, especially inside loyal blocs.

The question isn't whether white evangelicals still support Trump.

The question is what sustained erosion in "ethical confidence" does over time.