For those of you who have placed wages or are thinking about placing wages for this market.
It is critical to note that the market settles based on OPM’s determination! As stated in the description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces a federal government shutdown, including a partial government shutdown, due to a lapse in appropriations by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
There are tons of rumors and stated things out there but it is critical to know OPM is the body tha matters! Just trying to prevent any issues before they arise!
Thanks for the PSA!
I think you've been plenty clear about the resolution criteria.
Thank you! With the news today and the just blatant incorrect things that have been reported it’s made me worry a bit!
Imagine how Greenlanders feel.
BTW It's wagers not wages...
Hmm.. that couldn't possibly be played by an insider with access to OPM's memos and notices before they go out. That would never happen, lol.
Haha prediction market supporters say insider trading is good 😊
Though I doubt if predyx is popular enough yet to attract much insider attention
Uhhh well the issue with what your saying is that well the Legislative Branch is funded till September soooo I dont get OPM notices for the affected Departments. Even my policy area, the Department of Energy, is already funded as well so yeah I dont have access to it.
You have just as much access as I do! If it was different I wouldnt bring it up would I. I would just reap the benefits.