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150 sats \ 5 replies \ @kepford 20h \ on: Ray Dalio's comments on the beginning of our new civil war mostly_harmless
I now think widespread and enduring civil violence is likely, and I think it's close. Like weeks-to-months close.

Its here and has been off and on for a while. Not cheering it on. On the contrary I have been talking about a civil national divorce for years. Seems neither side will leave the other alone. The reasons differ but it's not one sided. Seems unavoidable now.

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116 sats \ 1 reply \ @elvismercury OP 19h

I suppose that's true, it's just a question of where you calibrate yourself, what you assume the control group and the "appropriate" ambient level of violence to be.

For instance, you could start w/ Trump assassination attempt and then play it forward steadily (MN congresspeople; Charlie Kirk; these protestors); and I suppose you could start before that, and that it would get even fuller depending on what you chose to include.

Like Dalio said in the article, it's not clear, in the moment, when things start and when they end. Which is obvious in retrospect, but I somehow had never considered it before.

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0 sats \ 0 replies \ @kepford 19h
it's not clear, in the moment, when things start and when they end. Which is obvious in retrospect...

Indeed.

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56 sats \ 2 replies \ @Undisciplined 19h

Maybe this will finally push some blue states into seeking independence.

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57 sats \ 1 reply \ @kepford 19h

The problem is... that will likely trigger more violence.

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71 sats \ 0 replies \ @Undisciplined 19h

Almost certainly. It also removes the political checks on this kind of abuse in the places that remain.

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