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"Every day, people on X say Bitcoin is going to $100,000. Most of them own Bitcoin. Under the government’s theory, selling before it hits that target is fraud."

I find this to be somewhat a non-sequitor.

If a public figure mentions their opinion on higher Brent crude, water utility prices, or precious metals prices, that's not dealing with securities. There's a difference, no?

There is, yes. Commodity vs security at the very least

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