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I'm not convinced its fall will be as dramatic as many in other states hope for.

The reason I say this is because I have seen areas bouncing back faster than I expected from the Covid fiasco. I think it will be a long drawn out affair. I'm hoping to pick up cheap land if it does happen in my lifetime.

Either way, California will bounce back for no other reason than it is one of the most amazing chunks of land on the planet and there are still many good people here that aren't insane. Just not enough to sway elections/politics.

What I don't see enough of is people that like to mock California applying lessons to their own areas. Their own towns, counties, and states. Several times I've talked to people in other states that mention news stories about California that are unaware of similar things happening in their own freaking backyards. I want these people to avoid going down the road California is on. It would be great to have a place to flee to if it gets really bad.

Its just easier to point at others and mock vs. look at your own place and fix it up. Complaining is easy. Talk is cheap. Our towns and businesses have real problems and I don't think most people have as much skin in the game as they should.

it is one of the most amazing chunks of land on the planet

This is basically the resource curse. More corruption and inefficiency will be tolerated because the geography can't be moved.

I'd love for a bounce back. My impression is based on the ideological trajectory and not seeing where course correction would come from. If I'm wrong about that and sanity is welcomed into the public discourse, I'll be celebrating right alongside you.

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The ideological trajectory is consistent with the demographic trajectory

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