Clint Russell just put out a podcast on this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GekmtVh7ljg
His theory is that the Venezuela takeover is driven partly by a soon-to-come war with Iran. Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20% of global oil transits. Venezuela's oil comes to 20% as well, so that would offset a closure of the Strait of Hormuz.
There's lots of clips of Israeli Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu (the guy that Trump reports to), from the past 35 years, consistently saying things like "Iran is 6 months away from nuclear weapons".
Also lots of clips as well of Trump, previously, full of anti-war talk, talking about the criminal deceit about weapons of mass destruction that was used as an excuse to invade Iraq, costing millions of lives and trillions of dollars.
Now I guess he's been threatened/blackmailed into going along with the whole thing. What a sorry joke.
And now we're probably going to be involved in war and/or "nation building" in both Venezuela and Iran.
These war-mongering politicians should all burn in hell.
This is very retarded.
Having the oil we need off the coast of Florida obviously means the middle east can pound sand, Iran can be Saudis/Israel's problem. Not that it would be much of a war if the US focused on them...
Special operations flexes are not the neocon forever wars of the Obama/Bush era, quite the opposite.
Good explanation on how Israel ain't shit, it's a British proxy
view on x.comhttps://twiiit.com/PrometheanActn/status/2006455669290054079
Bibi's been saying that Iran is months away from a nuclear weapon since the early 90's, possibly the late 80's.
I haven't listened to the episode yet, but it strikes me as a bit of a reach. I suspect it's more that Venezuela was a vulnerable adversary and knocking out the unpopular dictator serves several different objectives.
I expect there will be American companies getting new lucrative oil deals down there.
More oil supply will bring down domestic energy and gas prices, which alleviates the affordability crisis.
Lower oil prices also put more pressure on Russia to get a peace deal done and, yes, weakens Iran and the other Gulf states.
The oil angle is worth thinking about but the “Iran is six months away” line has been recycled for decades hard not to see Iraq WMD vibes all over this again.
Trump’s shift is what bothers a lot of folks he built support by calling out endless wars, so any move that looks like nation building feels like a betrayal even if the reality is more complicated.
If you look at the situation through a strategic lens it makes sense that Venezuela would be targeted not only because of its oil reserves but because of its vulnerability and political instability. Historically the US has often moved to secure resources and influence in regions where the government is weak and the leadership is unpopular. What is interesting here is that this could serve multiple overlapping goals beyond simply oil acquisition. Access to Venezuelan crude could act as a hedge against disruptions in the Middle East but it also has a direct impact on global oil prices.
Lower global prices would pressure oil dependent adversaries like Russia and Iran while offering domestic economic relief at home. It is also likely that American companies will be quick to move into the vacuum and secure favorable terms once the political landscape shifts. While some might view this as another case of geopolitical overreach there is a cold logic in the timing and target selection. Unlike drawn out conflicts in the Middle East the Venezuelan scenario offers both a pragmatic resource play and an opportunity to weaken multiple rival states indirectly.