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Week 11 Recap

Here are my picks for Week 12. Started off with a miss with the Bills (big sad). Hopefully the rest of the week shakes out better:

Away TeamHome TeamPickML OddsResult
BUFHOUBUF-275MISS
INDKCKC-185
NECINNE-395
PITCHICHI-150
NYJBALBAL-1000
SEATENSEA-950
NYGDETDET-1000
MINGBGB-280
CLELVLV-175
JAXARIARI114
ATLNONO-130
PHIDALPHI-162
TBLARLAR-355
CARSFSF-395

My Ember picks, 100 sats on each

Away TeamHome TeamPickML OddsResult
BUFHOUHou3.12xHit
INDKCIND2.26x
NECINNE1.2x
PITCHIPIT2.06x
NYJBALBAL1.1x
SEATENSEA1.1x
NYGDETDET1.16x
MINGBMIN3.58x
CLELVCLE2.36x
JAXARIJAX1.6x
ATLNONO1.84x
PHIDALPHI1.38x
TBLARTB3x
CARSFCAR3.56x
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Panthers? You must like losing sats.

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I do expect to lose on that one, but if they play three times I don't think SF sweeps it.

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No probably not. 2/3. 49ers D is not very good right now so all it takes is the offense to be off for a game or to have a couple turnovers and the Panthers will win.

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That’s the panthers MO this year

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I seem to like underdogs more than you do.

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I think we have slightly different strategies. You seem to pick the best value proposition while I am aiming for actually getting picks right. Each has their merits

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I don’t mean for that last bit to sound condescending. actually tends to have that effect, but it’s unintentional

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It kind of fits with our "everybody sucks" theme. The first thing I ask myself is if the favorite is actually any good.

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lol yep. It’s amazing that Vegas offers any odds -1000 or shorter. Every game is such a toss up

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@grayruby I almost think we should do this for fun, except it may doxx ourselves

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That’s pretty fun. I don’t have that though. Probably only in the US. We could do something here on SN. Everyone adds a leg to the parlay and I will bet it on Thursday and if we win I will zap each stacker the equivalent amount of sats.

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Let’s do it!

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Ok. I will post it Wednesday and we will see what we end up with. Hopefully it isn’t a 12 leg parlay.

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25 leg +10000 odds

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That would be a nice payout. Haha

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I think we should do two turkeys. One for game results and one for player props. The game result one will have a maximum of 6 legs and the player prop one will have unlimited legs.

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Game results meaning ML, O/U, and spread?

Were you always on the Bears or did you make your pick after the Rodgers news? I took Steelers but Bears seem more likely now. I think I will still roll with the Steelers but I should cash out my initial bet and do it again so I get the better odds.

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I was Steelers earlier in the week, but second guessed outside the Rodgers news, just seemed like the bears have found ways to win even when they shouldn’t. Rodgers news helped

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Was too late to cash out the full bet. Only paying .80 now so I hedged instead and took 1.78 on Bears to pay out 1. For the purpose of our bets I will stay on Steelers and track it based on whatever they do.

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Sounds good. I’m not surprised they dropped the cash out, they’re on top of it

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Buffalo failed you!!

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I had faith. It didn’t work out

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