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They gave up 47 points last week and Burrow is at least another month away from coming back. He probably misses 4/5 if not all of that gauntlet of games so I am confident they cannot. I am more confident that the Falcons can somehow steal a win in a Euro game before they have a stretch of easier games or that the Texans can beat the Jags and their great defense can keep them alive, than I am that the Bengals can win 4 out of those 5 games.
Alright, I'll dig into Atlanta a bit more, because my gut says they make more sense.
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Falcons next 4 games
Colts (in Europe) Panthers (Panthers have looked good but still winnable) Saints Jets
Falcons likely get crossed off soon but I would rather bet on Falcons winning 3/4 here than the Bengals winning 3 out of their next 4.
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Even if they win 3/4, they're still only up to 6-5.
Then they have Seahawks Bucs Cardinals Rams
I can't see them being better than 7-8 coming out of that.
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Current playoff probabilities
Ravens 55% Bengals 3% Texans 19% Cowboys 5% Falcons 12%
Maybe we should be talking Cowboys vs Bengals rather than Falcons vs Bengals.
I should do a post with current playoff probabilities and we can look back at the end of the season and see how probability did.
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But the Cowboys saved their defense at the trade deadline
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42 sats \ 1 reply \ @grayruby 7 Nov
Well it did get better but I am not sure about saved.
I just looked at the Cowboys upcoming schedule.
Raiders Eagles Chiefs Lions Vikings Chargers
They are done.
Whatever direction we go I think we are in good shape for the next few weeks with Bengals, Falcons, Cowboys and Texans. We should have a months worth of cross offs.
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Cowboys it is. They'll be lucky to win two more games.
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