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That's a good analogy. I could definitely see that world playing out.
You may be right when you say otherwise why not ethereum, and maybe it is just my ignorance, but I don't see anyone building micropayments apps for crypto. It's all defi maybe farcaster and base, but my impression of those is not so much micropayments as trading and finance stuff.
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But that's the thing. I don't know if you really can orange pill someone about bitcoin unless you emphasize those things. Otherwise, why not ethereum? It's important why proof-of-stake is not money, and other such things.
On that note, I'm someone who thinks that a possible scenario for bitcoin is that it becomes the Tor of money. Not dead, but never mainstream either.