pull down to refresh

256 sats \ 1 reply \ @OT 14h
One odd thing about AI equipment is that it’s very expensive to buy and very cheap to rent. Want an Nvidia B200 GPU accelerator? Buying one on its release in late 2024 would’ve probably cost around $50,000, which is before all the costs associated with plugging it in and switching it on. Yet by early 2025, the same hardware could be rented for around $3.20 an hour. By last month, the B200’s floor price had fallen to $2.80 per hour. Nvidia upgrades its chip architecture every other year, so there’s an opportunity for the best-funded data centre operators to lock in customers with knockdown prices on anything that’s not cutting edge. From the outside, the steady decline in GPU rental rates resembles the kind of predatory price war the tech industry relies upon: burn money until all your competitors are dead. The evidence, however, is more complicated. … among the hyperscalers — Amazon’s AWS, Microsoft’s Azure, Google and Oracle — prices have hardly budged. The result is an ever-widening gap between rates charged by the big-four and a growing number of smaller rivals.
reply
92 sats \ 0 replies \ @optimism 14h
Full alphaville article, minus the graph, but we already have that lol
reply
Nvida is $5T prices fall what happens to this valuation?
reply
229 sats \ 3 replies \ @optimism 14h
Nothing for a while. They launch a new gpu that is marginally better and price it up more-than-marginally.
Intel has been doing this for 15 years... that's about how long you can get away with it in the hardware business until you get seriously disrupted. For Intel, the signal was Apple phasing out their chips.
For NVidia, watch for either Larry, Zuck or Elon stocking their massive new datacenters with AMD, or worse, Huawei. (And then all that will happen is TSMC taking a stake in NVidia when it's properly dipped)
reply
The silicon game is ruthless
reply
123 sats \ 1 reply \ @optimism 13h
Bleeding edge tech is not for pussies. Ask Philips, cuz they the biggest pussies. They cofounded both TSMC and ASML, and sold early.
reply
That is maximum pain. But i understand I sold my AMD shares back in like 2020
reply