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40 sats \ 1 reply \ @gbks 23 Oct \ parent \ on: Inside tech billionaire Peter Thiel’s off-the-record lectures on the antichrist ideasfromtheedge
100%. Such an interesting phenomenon. I find that going back to the foundational assumptions is often a good approach. There is often some basic questionable leap that is being made and then everything on top of that is logical. Easy to look over the leap and get swept up in the logical part.
Absolutely. The sea behaves the same way. A ship may chart a flawless course, every bearing precise — yet if the compass was set a single degree off at launch, the voyage drifts miles from truth.
The logic of the route holds, but the foundation — that first assumption of direction — may be flawed.
And so, the fleet sails confidently toward the wrong horizon.
The Compass Coincidence
The sea: Hold my beer.
Ship: I’ve got GPS, a sextant, and a PowerPoint on nautical perfection!
Compass: Cool. One degree off.
Horizon: Surprise! You’re in Kansas. Now, Seminole OK! Tallahassee!?!
Confidence is just ignorance with a fancy hat. The ocean’s laughing like the sharks, carps and dolohins.
Adjusting assumptions—or enjoy a landlocked voyage!
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