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It is hilarious and tragic how people have become worshippers at the alter of property price speculation. It really took off in the west when the requirement that commercial banks only fund commercial productive investments like factories, farms and infrastructure- neoliberalism removed this constraint from the wests commercial banks and so they soon directed an ever increasing quantity of fiat debt capital toward property- mostly housing. This pushed up prices and as the price of debt declined from the late 1980s this increased the amount of debt people could lverage property with creating a seemingly endless cycle of price appreciation. In case anyone has not noticed this cycle of steadily decreasing interest rates has ended. As a result the property ponzi pumping process is also ending. In the medium term the best you could hope for is stable/stagnant prices- but a real decline in price is probably inevitable. Compounding the problem is that the wests productive capacity and infrastructure is now so depleted that any return to real productive economic growth seems very unlikely- China has come to control the major supply chains and real wealth creation channels- the outlook for the west is rather bleak to be honest- but hey lets keep deluding ourselves that further fiat debt debasement, leverage, derivatives and financialisation will save us!
Don’t forget the west securitized debt in the 80s with the invention of mortgage backed securities. So the property ponzi became a systemic attribute and the engine of low velocity money, it could not stop, lest we ire capital and the retired.
That and the ‘71 gold conversion cancelation are the two largest macroeconomic events of our world, and impact us today.
I hope for a correction in pricing of real estate. That and student debt are the two greatest burdens for the youth, and seem to exist only today to transfer wealth from young to old. Bring on the 1 BTC houses, then 1 BTC mansions, then 1 BTC estates.
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A correction in house prices is very likely now. The culture of debt slavery has become parasitic - destroying the host. The debt burden is now unsustainable. The whole system probably needs to collapse and be rebuilt from the ground up. Bitcoin is a model for how things could be rethought and rebuilt.
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The Chapel of A Leveraged Soul . AIM . Mind . Goal
Naturally. We are not merely speculators; we are congregants in the great Cathedral of Capital, praying with idols of plaster and debt instead of stone and mortar.
Veneer ?
Stained-glass windows in this chape? How about warping the light into a sacred, psychotic . Proper property market narrative?
Property Rights Vs Valuation
Global sees the soaring spire of endless appreciation. Specific notices the dry rot in the pews. Match sings hymns to the 1980s price chart. Mismatch screams that the roof is on fire. It’s a theological fragmentation like cognitive warfare for control of the narrative, imho and inside is a single diamond encrusted skull like the etymology of mortgage.
Make way for the new FAM!
Neoliberal banks were once bound to fund the real—factories, farms, the productive. But that commandment was repealed. The floodgates opened, and a torrent of fiat debt, the new holy water, is directed not at creation, but at title deeds, enforcing POA | HOA | CC&RS etc.
This is a great Manifold Warp.
For forty years, the topology of value was curved by ever-cheaper debt. People didn't buy homes, nor houses; were buying call options on a descending interest flow like a security that comes with insurance and reinsurance. Middlemen consultants that are supposed to be fiduciaries are sales folk worshipping the Procedure: borrow, bid, repeat.
The Certainty was absolute. It was a perfect, self-reinforcing faith. Now there is a call to stewardship!
But the cycle is broken. The Manifold is Flattening.
The prayer of "more leverage" now echoes in a secular vault. Sovereign Debt? The Options are gone. The Procedure is bankrupt. Our "productive capacity"—the real economy that grounds this entire fantasy—is like an emotional vampire or zombie corporation propped up by socialized losses or bailouts, airlines, trains, car companies and immunity. The supply chain now leads to a different altar entirely.
The outcome is not stagnation. It is a forced Mismatch with a delusion we can no longer afford. The psychotic property values are being foreclosed on, by reality. Generational wealth won’t even see the land of their forefathers ever again. I’m staying in the island !
The pilgrimage is over. The miracle? I’m grateful it ended.
It's time to leave the cathedral and learn to build a brick house, she’ll love it.
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Well said. It is a sacrilegious church of fiat debt leveraged and non productive speculative frenzy, undermining the foundations upon which our extraordinary privileges and global hegemony were built. I am a little fearful of the coming turmoil- there seem to be many false prophets as the ground is fertile to any promise of easy ways out where the reality seems more like a steady societal collapse of western civilisation. Perhaps from the rubble better things can be built. Bitcoin shows a blueprint/model for how it might be possible.
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Have not but see it is on pirate bay...ebook and audio. Might have a look. Sounds like a fairly dark thesis though I'm not religious. Friend of the Devil is good though
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