I was checking bitcoin markets on https://beta.predyx.com/, and guess what? I found this whole market on stackers news. It's got a 70% shot at hitting 'yes.' Plus, some of the stackers themselves are in on this trade. Anyone got the lowdown on the stackers news item count history? Like, what's the trend?
Description
Resolution Criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stacker News reaches item number 1,400,000 by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM PST. Conditions: • The item number must be publicly visible on Stacker News. • The resolution will be based on the highest item number recorded by the deadline. • If Stacker News discontinues public item numbering, credible screenshots or archive records will be accepted. If item 1,400,000 is not reached by the deadline, the market will resolve to “No.”
Share holders:
@ek @Coinsreporter @OT @BlokchainB @Skipper @SimpleStacker @south_korea_ln @Undisciplined @denlillaapan
Check @denlillaapan's posting history.
It used to be a definite "no".
Then a mystery stacker showed how easily gameable this market is by spamming 10s of thousands of posts using a bot.
Now,
it could go both waysthere is a 69.87 pct chance it happens.The market just responded to new information. We're at 59.11% now.
Prediction markets, more accurate than ever.
This market is rigged. I've seen it all. Thanks
#1063670
your post is 1239842
Can you tell me what the first item id for this year?
Check @denlillaapan's post history for a whole series about this market. He charted out the trend until sometime in the summer.
I've seen everything I needed. Thanks
#1063670
Got very boring when someone fucked with it. No point
There's still a decent chance you called the right side. I hope you'll at least do some shameless victory laps afterward.
I can be relied upon to do shameless things, yes.
You must be new here
Actually, I'd already seen this #1063670, but it slipped my mind. Old age is catching up to me, for real.
Tell me about it!