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I don't think so. Think about bitcoin. The men who know the most about bitcoin are the most optimistic (compared to the general public at least)

I think it really just depends on the technology and the social situation

Actually I would say those who know the most about it, and by that I mean programmers, are not very optimistic.

There was a popular case of suicide by a known developer in the cryptography and security field.

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In what ways are they not optimistic?

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